Instruction

This section will help you understand all the graph and data you can find in the analysis and extract the most information from them.

Index


Meta Analysis Report


This page gives the meta share of the decks that have made a decent result in the analyzed time frame.

For all the analysis I use only the decklists that had a Top4 to Top 64 based on the size of the event, or specific win percentages in case of events without a final standings (like MTGO Leagues or the Arena ladder).
The meta share is dived from online and for Paper events, because the meta can really change a lot between the two. Keep in mind that many event are played in local shops and results are not made public, so the Paper meta is always less precise.


Top-20 Card Change (Premium only)

This table can give a quick glance of card that entered or left an important archetype without having to read all the Deck Analysis Report for each one.

First only the Top 10 archetype (from both paper and online) can be showed here. This is to avoid showing less played archetype that often have a lot of changes being the lists available a really small number.
Then for each archetype the top 20 cards played are analyzed. If a card enters or leave this top 20 it's showed here.
Big meta shift can often be seen here, for example after a ban we are able to see a lot of sideboard cards leaving various decklists, and new one emerging.



Deck Analysis Report


This Report takes all the decklists and calculate for each cards how much it's played. It can be used to perfect your decklist, to see what cards are having better result and to buy a card that is starting to be played before it's price rise too much.


The Summary Statistics box shows:


Card Distribution by Presence Tier


This chart groups cards into presence bands: Universal 95%-100%, Staples 75%-94%, Core 50%-74%, Flex 25%-49%, Situational 10%-24%, Tech <10%.
Each bar's height is the number of unique cards in that tier.


Top X cards by Presence Rate

This graph show, for each card, the percentage of decks that play it. Bars closer to 100% are archetype staple; lower ones are more replaceable.

How to read:


Average Copies per Deck


This chart shows how many copies of a card are played on average in the decks that include them.
This can be used to understand how many copies of a cards we want in our deck, if a cards is played in 4 copies or maybe is only played in 1-2 copies usually.


Card Copy Consistency


This graph only show how many copies of a cards are played like the graph before, but with an indication of the standard deviation.
This can help us understand if a card played in 3,5 copies has a low deviation (everyone play it in 4 or 3 copies minimum) or a high deviation (people play it in 1 or 2 copies, and some other people play it in 4 copies).
Only cards played in at least 30% of the deck are showed because the standard deviation loose statistical relevance if we reduce the number of decks from which we get the data.


Presence vs Copies Analysis


This graph merge all the data seen before.

Based on the position we can understand how a card is played:


Tables


This section have a complete lists of all cards divided in 3 tables, from the most played to the less played.



Archetype Trends Report (Premium only)


This Report use statistical data and trend formulas to give you information on how the meta is going to change so you can react faster and gain an advantage.

Summary Statistics


Here you have an indication on the two snapshots compared. You can see both the dates the data was extracted and how many decks each one contained. All the data get normalized to avoid error given by the fact that the decks number change every extraction. Archetype with less than 10 decks in both snapshot are not procesed, since less data bring to less predicting trends.


Threshold Crossers


Only cards that pass the 25% usage are showed here. This can give you a quick idea of what is starting to get used more an more in the archetype. Keep an eye on this cards.


Top Risers / Top Fallers


These two graph show the cards that gained the most usage % or lost it in the time period. Here you can find new cards entering the archetype, for example after a new set release, you can see cards leaving the archetype, maybe after a ban that madethem less relevant, or you can see new strategy emerging, for example if you see a rise of artifact hate sideboard in multiple archetype it means that probably some affinity deck is gaining power.


Presence Rate


This graph give you a quick look to all the cards changing in the archetype. Cards above the dotted line are rising, cards below it are falling. A big bubble means that the change was strong, small bubble means that the percentage is lower. My advice here is to look at the green bubble in the top left to see what's changing and is used in a lot of decks, or see the further bubble from the line that means the change was very drastic.


Average Copies Change


These two graph show you the cards that gained more copies or lost them. For example a card usually played in 3 copies in the first snapshot is now played in 4 copies you will see it's average copies go up by one. This can help you build a deck with the data in the Deck Analysis Report, if you are unsure of playing 3 or 4 copies, maybe here you can see that the copies are rising, so you can easily try four.


Trend Slopes Up/down


This is the first Trend Graph. When you see "trend" in a graph or in a table it means that trend analysis formula are boing used, so the data is not a coparison between two point in time, but it's a comparison between multiple snapshot. I think 6 week of data is the sweet spot to have meaningful trend without having the relevant information too late when the meta already changed. If you think i'm wrong let's chat about it, glad to hear your idea.
Back to the graph, here you can see in the weeks analyzed the cards with the strongest trend momentum but up and down. We will see later how strong these trends are, but from here you can have a quick look of what is really going to be used in the archetype and what not.


Trend Scatter


Here things get difficult. In this graph you see the same 20 cards seen in the two graph before, on the left the ones trending down, on the right the one trending up, just like before. On the vertical axis we have a parameter calle R² that indicates the quality of the trend. Cards trending up with a R² near 1 means that the trend is strong, if R² is low near 0 it means that the trend is not strong, the cards is rising but statistically has less change to keep on rising. The color here indicates the momentum. Brigheter color means that the card in the last snapshot has risen more than the trend in the snapshots before, it means that the rise is accellerating, more dul colors means that the card was rising more before and is now decelerating, so players have found the sweet spot for it or it's not necessary anymore and we will see a trend down in the following weeks.
If you want to keep it simple look at cards in the Top - Right quadrant, they are the ones with the better trend going up.


Presence Rate Timeline


Here you can see how the Top 10 most played cards changed during time. Most of the time here you want to see a line at the 100%, it means that all the Top10 cards are consolidated and the archetype is stable, if you see cards going up or down during time it means the deck is changing.


Top Risers / Top Fallers Tables


In these table you can see the data behing the graphs we have seen before. You should now have all the info to read these tables, i will write an explanation later when i finish changing them, as of now they contain probably a lot of data not really useful.


Trending Up / Trending Down Tables


Same as before, these tables contains the trends data, I will finish to fix them and write an explanation for all the columns later.


New Cards / Dropped Cards Table


These are quite straightforward, here you can see the cards that were not present before that enteres the Archetype and theirs number, and the cards that were played, but now left the archetype. Usually card here enter or leave with a low presence %, so it means that someone tried them and made a result, but it can happen that a card with a high presence % enter or leaves the archetype, keep an eye for those.